Convective Discussion
Risk of thundershowers over western New Brunswick this afternoon and early this evening with no convective activity expected elsewhere.
Clearing skies over western New Brunswick will increase solar insolation which may be enough to trigger a few non severe thundershowers. An approaching ridge from the west brings subsidence to the area, so any convection that could get triggered should be moderated due to the mid level stability. Anywhere from 100 to 500 J/Kg can be expected over the area but, again, positive buoyancy should be limited to mid levels which should limit CB development.
Regional Impacts
New Brunswick
Scattered thundershowers possible over western NB but severe thunderstorms not expected.
Nova Scotia
None
PEI
None
Newfoundland & Labrador
None
Barrie MacKinnon