Regional Impacts
Chance of an afternoon thunderstorm – producing brief downpour and moderate wind gusts - over southern NF.
Convective Discussion
Very moist airmass prevails over NF this morning with a fair amount of potential energy, however mid-level lapse rate continue to be unfavorable for the development of deep convection. The area to focus would be over the southern third of the island where sunshine could help boost surface temperatures to values required for convective initiation, at this point the likelihood remains very low. Having said that, the upper jet (100+kt) may be too strong, shredding any developing towers. Elsewhere across the Atlantic provinces, fair conditions are expected under an upper ridge.
Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1
Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2
