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Tuesday, June 22, 2021

Convective Outlook for June 22nd and June 23rd, 2021

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1

 

Regional Impacts:

 

Potential for isolated non severe thundershowers today over much of the Maritimes with a potential for isolated severe cells over areas that become cloud free.  Main threat is heavy local downpours but strong winds and hail are also possible

 

Convective Discussion:

 

The cold front that caused much damage last night over Quebec and Maine is now over New Brunswick.  The area is quite cloudy which helps to inhibit severe cell growth but some areas may become cloud free and will be able to reach higher temps and hence become more unstable.  Strong jet over the area with an abundance of low level moisture and the trough to help kick things off.  Cloud free areas will be watched closely.  Areas with more cloud could still see convection with lower likelihood to become severe.

 

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2

 

No convective activity expected for day 2 at this time.

 

 

Barrie MacKinnon