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Monday, June 26, 2023

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts

 

NB and NS: Risk of an embedded thunderstorm.

NL: None.

 

Convective Discussion

A warm front extends from a surface/upper low over the Great Lakes to the Gulf of Maine-Lurcher-Lahave Bank. The front will push northward slightly tonight and Tuesday. Few clusters of thunderstorms are detected by CLDN along the front. The instability over the Maritimes will remain quite weak and therefore the risk of thunderstorms over the area depicted is minimal 30% or less. Rainfall rates over the region are not expected exceed 5mm, however closer to the front (Maine) the rates will likely be in the 10-20mm range.

Strong high pressure over the Lower Quebec north shore will dominate with some moist early morning boundary layer conditions over NF giving way to sunshine. The LG4 and Goose upper air soundings from this morning continue to show extremely dry conditions.

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for today

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for tonight

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for tonight