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Tuesday, July 31, 2018

Day 1 Convective Outlook for Atlantic Canada Valid for July 31, 2018

Convective discussion:

 

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will develop today across portions of Labrador associated with a weak cold front crossing the area..

 

Technical Discussion:

 

A weak cold front will trigger ISOL/SCT TS today as it swings across Labrador. 12Z YZV tephi shows a strong capping inversion at 600 mb, and given the weak dynamics and modest surface heating, that cap will be difficult to erode. No severe weather is XPCTD.

 

KCAR tephi looks like a “loaded gun” profile, but there is no trigger to develop any TS. SCT ACC/TCU is XPCTD across NB.

 

Regional Impacts:

 

Labrador: Isolated/scattered non-severe thunderstorms.

 

Newfoundland: nil

 

Nova Scotia: nil.

 

Prince Edward Island: nil.

 

New Brunswick: nil.

 

Jeremy