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Monday, July 15, 2019

Convective Outlook Valid for July 13th, 2019

Convective discussion

 

Risk of non-severe thunderstorms over New Brunswick with small possibility of a severe thunderstorm. 

 

Partially clearing skies over New Brunswick with decent low level moisture  and weak surface convergence could produce thunderstorms over the area this afternoon and early evening.  Slight cooling aloft during the afternoon with marginal shear at around 30 kts and  some upper diffluence could be enough to maintain isolated severe thunderstorms with locally heavy downpours and strong, gusty winds but this threat is marginal. 

 

Regional impacts

 

New Brunswick: Thundershowers with small risk of a severe thunderstorms producing locally heavy downpours and strong, gusty winds.

 

PEI: Risk of non-severe west.

 

Nova Scotia: No thunderstorms expected.

 

Newfoundland and Labrador: No thunderstorms expected.

 

 

Barrie MacKinnon