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Tuesday, July 9, 2019

Convective Outlook Valid for July 9, 2019

Convective Discussion

 

Only one area for potential TSRA is over NL and waters to the NE of the island. Upper level low and some PVA gave some elevated ISOL TSRA to parts of Newfoundland early this morning. Skies are beginning to clear somewhat, which could give way to some ISOL cells this afternoon. Modifying the 12Z tep from YJT could give between 200 and 300 CAPE, but the upper dynamics are weak. There could be slight 500 mb height falls which could lead to some cells. Freezing levels are low, so some small hail is a possibility if they develop. OTWZ nil sig wx for the rest of the region.

 

Regional Impacts

 

Newfoundland: ISOL cells are PSBL this afternoon.

 

Elsewhere: nil.

 

 

Jeremy