Regional Impacts
Western Labrador: risk of afternoon and evening thundershowers.
Northern New Brunswick: Risk of afternoon and evening thundershowers.
Convective Discussion
Isolated thundershowers are expected to form over western Labrador this afternoon in association with a trough of low pressure moving into the region from Quebec. La Grande tephi shows decent shear but somewhat of a cap in the mid-upper levels. PWAT is around 36 mm. Expected non-severe cells to develop with locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds.
There is also the risk of a thundershower this afternoon and evening across northern New Brunswick. KCAR tephi shows 500+ CAPE but very little shear. There is also the lack of a trigger so if cells do develop they will be slow moving. PWAT is around 35 mm so heavy downpours would be the main concern. Looking at both the YQI and YAW soundings it will be quite difficult to generate CBs in NS. However local areas of convergence could generate an isolated cell.
Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1
Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2
