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Thursday, September 3, 2020

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts

 

Labrador today…

 

Southern New Brunswick, Fundy, northern Nova Scotia and PEI and into the Gulf of Saint Lawrence… Thunderstorms and heavy downpours with 30 + mm of rain possible in some areas tonight.

 

Convective Discussion

 

For Labrador weak updrafts could be sufficient to generate an isolated thunderstorm over a fairly large area. No severe weather is expected although stronger wind gusts can be expected in thunderstorms.

 

Tonight conditions may come together with moisture convergence ahead of a weak trough that will move over the area. With precipatable water values exceeding 50mm and most unstable Cape values near 500 j/kg locally heavy rain is possible where deeper convection occurs. Local rainfall rates of 30-40mm/hr are possible and radar should monitored for stronger cells moving through this evening and into the overnight hours.

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1

 

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2