Regional Impacts
For Today... Minimal impacts expected with only a slight chance of thunderstorms expected parts of New Brunswick and Labrador.
For Tomorrow... Organized convection possible late tomorrow afternoon and evening for northern New Brunswick, locally heavy downpours can be expected.
Convective Discussion
No significant convection is expected today with little potential energy and no significant forcings. Tomorrow the dynamics will begin to organize with an approaching upper trough and increasing mid level shear. There is still some uncertainty with the amount of CAPE with expected values around 500 J/kg, but with high Precipitable Water values approaching 50mm some locally heavy downpours could occur. In addition there is a slight risk that organized convection in the form of a squall line or QLCS (quasi linear convective system) may form further west and move over NB late in the afternoon. As the system develops we will have a better understanding of the potential, please look for the updated outlook tomorrow.
Mel Lemmon
Outlook for Today
Outlook For Tomorrow
Outlook for Wednesday
