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Saturday, July 6, 2024

Convective Outlook Valid for Today , Tonight and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts…

 

Today

NB/NS/PEI/NL:  A chance of thunderstorms.

Labrador:  None.

 

Tonight

NB/NS/PEI/NL:  A chance of thunderstorms.

Labrador:  None.

 

Sunday

NB/PEI/Labrador: A chance of thunderstorms. Over New Brunswick, surface based storms will may give severe weather in the afternoon.

NS/NL: None.

 

Convective Discussion…

A trough of low pressure tracking across the Maritimes will give a chance of embedded thundershowers for those areas today. There is the potential for heavy rain at times as PWAT values are 30-50 mm. Surface based thundershowers are possible this afternoon over portions of Newfoundland but the CAPE values are less than 500 J/kg so they should stay non-severe. On Sunday, surface based thundershowers are expected over most of New Brunswick and portions of Labrador. Over Labrador the CAPE values are expected to be less than 500 J/kg so non-severe cells are expected. Over New Brunswick, CAPE values near 1000 J/kg and shear of 30-40 knots will help support possible severe thunderstorms.

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Today

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Tonight

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Tomorrow