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Sunday, July 4, 2021

Convective Outlook Valid for Today

Thunderstorm Outlook for Today

 

Regional Impacts

Slight chance of thundershowers over portions of Nova Scotia, Prince Edward Island and Newfoundland.

 

Convective Discussion

A chance of embedded convection along the track of an approaching upper low.

Saturday, July 3, 2021

Convective Outlook Valid for Today

Thunderstorm Outlook for Today

Regional Impacts
No inland thunderstorms expected.

Convective Discussion
Isolated convection along the frontal boundary and in the vicinity of the associated upper low approaching Nova Scotia.


Friday, July 2, 2021

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow


Thunderstorm Outlook for Today

Regional Impacts
No inland thunderstorms expected at this time.

Convective Discussion
Isolated convection along the frontal boundary over southern waters.



Thunderstorm Outlook for Tomorrow

No thunderstorms expected over land at this time.

Thursday, July 1, 2021

Re: Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

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From: Mercer,Doug (ECCC)
Sent: Thursday, July 1, 2021 3:35 PM
To: ec.adsjmcseniormeteorologistsadcmimeteorologueprincipal.ec@canada.ca <ec.adsjmcseniormeteorologistsadcmimeteorologueprincipal.ec@canada.ca>; ec.adcpia-aspcds.ec@canada.ca <ec.adcpia-aspcds.ec@canada.ca>; EC.ASPCSWW.EC@canada.ca <EC.ASPCSWW.EC@canada.ca>; ec.cmcops.ec@canada.ca <ec.cmcops.ec@canada.ca>; EC.NLWOAtlantic.EC@canada.ca <EC.NLWOAtlantic.EC@canada.ca>; ec.mtmetochalifax-metochalifaxmt.ec@canada.ca <ec.mtmetochalifax-metochalifaxmt.ec@canada.ca>; ec.wpm-atl.ec@canada.ca <ec.wpm-atl.ec@canada.ca>; ec.msa-quebec-wpm.ec@canada.ca <ec.msa-quebec-wpm.ec@canada.ca>; admin@catiq.com <admin@catiq.com>; lancaster@electricity.ca <lancaster@electricity.ca>
Subject: Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow
 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1

 

Regional Impacts

Nothing significant for Newfoundland and Labrador and New Brunswick. A chance for isolated showers with near severe rainfall amounts and gusty winds.

 

Convective Discussion

We continue with a deep ridge south, a deep trough extending from Labrador southwest to the Great Lakes, slanting down to a weak low near PEI with cold front extending southwest. NS is in the warm sector, with a weak thermal ridge moving east and weak cold advection approaching. Moisture is good again with PWATs near 40 mm and dewpoints inland in the low twenties, deep layer shear is near 45 kts. If  some clearing occurs, there's enough instability to give some healthy thundershowers and gusty winds. Freezing levels are near 14k feet, so significant hail is unlikely.

 

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2

Nothing expected over land.

 

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1

 

Regional Impacts

Nothing significant for Newfoundland and Labrador and New Brunswick. A chance for isolated showers with near severe rainfall amounts and gusty winds.

 

Convective Discussion

We continue with a deep ridge south, a deep trough extending from Labrador southwest to the Great Lakes, slanting down to a weak low near PEI with cold front extending southwest. NS is in the warm sector, with a weak thermal ridge moving east and weak cold advection approaching. Moisture is good again with PWATs near 40 mm and dewpoints inland in the low twenties, deep layer shear is near 45 kts. If  some clearing occurs, there’s enough instability to give some healthy thundershowers and gusty winds. Freezing levels are near 14k feet, so significant hail is unlikely.

 

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2

Nothing expected over land.