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Monday, September 5, 2022

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Thunderstorm Outlook for Today

 

Regional Impacts

None

 

Convective Discussion

Cold low over Ungava Bay with a shortwave trough extending southwestward to James Bay. 500mb temperatures fall to -15 to -20 range in the cold pool. Several lightning flashes were detected earlier along the trough. 500mb Heights and Temperature will fall and a secondary cold low will emerge over Labrador tonight, and then over NF Tuesday into Wednesday bringing a slight risk of a thunderstorm.

 

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Tonight

 

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Tuesday

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sunday, September 4, 2022

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts

None.

 

Convective Discussion

No thunderstorms expected today and Monday.

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2

 

Jeremy

Saturday, September 3, 2022

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts

Western LAB: isolated thunderstorms possible this afternoon.

 

Convective Discussion

A vigorous upper trough of low pressure will move into western Labrador this afternoon giving the risk of a thunderstorm. A stationary frontal trough over the southern Grand Banks will continue to give isolated thunderstorms today and Sunday. OTWX nil sig wx expected.

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1 day

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1 night

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2

 

Jeremy

Friday, September 2, 2022

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts:

 

Today

NB/NS/PEI/Labrador: None

NL: Isolated/embedded lightning east

 

Tonight

NS/NB/PEI/NL/Labrador: None

 

Saturday

NB/NS/PEI/NL/Labrador: None

 

Convective Discussion:

 

A slow moving trough of low pressure over the Avalon Peninsula will continue eastward today and will lie east of Newfoundland tonight. Some embedded/elevated lightning and downpours are occurring along and ahead of the trough. The trough will only affect offshore waters tonight and Saturday.

 

Thunderstorm outlook for today:

 

Thunderstorm outlook for tonight:

 

Thunderstorm outlook for Saturday:

Thursday, September 1, 2022

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts:

 

Today

NB/NS/PEI: None

NL/Labrador: Isolated lightning and locally heavy downpours

 

Tonight

NS/NB/PEI/Labrador: None

NL: Isolated lightning and locally heavy downpours

 

Thursday

NB/NS/PEI/Labrador: None

NB/NS/PEI: Isolated lightning

 

Convective Discussion:

 

A slow moving trough of low pressure extending from a low over northern Quebec will advance eastward across Newfoundland and Labrador today and tonight. Ahead of the trough embedded lightning and downpours are occurring. Precipitable water values are in the mid 40s and rainfall warnings are in effect for the southern Newfoundland coast. Over western Labrador there is a risk of surface based lightning in the wake of the trough this afternoon. The CAPE and shear values are quite low so only small hail or wind gusts are likely there.

 

As the trough continues eastward on Friday there is a risk of thundershowers for eastern Newfoundland and associated waters.

 

Thunderstorm outlook for today:

 

 

Thunderstorm outlook for tonight:

 

Thunderstorm outlook for Friday: