Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts

 

Newfoundland: Isolated thunderstorms are possible early this afternoon across parts of central Newfoundland. Main hazards will be lightning, gusty winds, and locally heavy downpours.

 

 

Convective Discussion

 

An upper low centred over western PEI in combination with a southwesterly 500mb low level jet extending into Newfoundland are aiding in the development of elevated convection over central Newfoundland early this afternoon. MUCAPE values near 1000 J/kg and 0-6 km wind shear of 50-60 kts will help maintain these storms as they move offshore. A warm nose at 850mb will prevent any convection from becoming surface based. Storms will begin to weaken after they move offshore this afternoon as the upper low begins to move east.

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2

 

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Thunderstorm Outlook for Today

 

Regional Impacts

None

 

Convective Discussion

Cold low over Ungava Bay with a shortwave trough extending southwestward to James Bay. 500mb temperatures fall to -15 to -20 range in the cold pool. Several lightning flashes were detected earlier along the trough. 500mb Heights and Temperature will fall and a secondary cold low will emerge over Labrador tonight, and then over NF Tuesday into Wednesday bringing a slight risk of a thunderstorm.

 

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Tonight

 

 

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Tuesday

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts

None.

 

Convective Discussion

No thunderstorms expected today and Monday.

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2

 

Jeremy

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts

Western LAB: isolated thunderstorms possible this afternoon.

 

Convective Discussion

A vigorous upper trough of low pressure will move into western Labrador this afternoon giving the risk of a thunderstorm. A stationary frontal trough over the southern Grand Banks will continue to give isolated thunderstorms today and Sunday. OTWX nil sig wx expected.

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1 day

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 1 night

 

Thunderstorm Outlook for Day 2

 

Jeremy

Convective Outlook Valid for Today and Tomorrow

Regional Impacts:

 

Today

NB/NS/PEI/Labrador: None

NL: Isolated/embedded lightning east

 

Tonight

NS/NB/PEI/NL/Labrador: None

 

Saturday

NB/NS/PEI/NL/Labrador: None

 

Convective Discussion:

 

A slow moving trough of low pressure over the Avalon Peninsula will continue eastward today and will lie east of Newfoundland tonight. Some embedded/elevated lightning and downpours are occurring along and ahead of the trough. The trough will only affect offshore waters tonight and Saturday.

 

Thunderstorm outlook for today:

 

Thunderstorm outlook for tonight:

 

Thunderstorm outlook for Saturday: